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Believe You Me

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Believe You Me has called 34 of 55 fights right. Betting $100 on each of the 55 priced picks would have lost $345.

62%
Hit rate, whole show
?

How often they picked the fighter who actually won. Only fights with a result count.

34 of 55 graded picks right
−$345
$100-a-pick result
?

If you had bet $100 on every one of their picks at the odds bookmakers offered right before the fight, this is what you'd have won or lost.

People on the show

Every pick from the show

UFC 324: Gaethje vs PimblettSat, Jan 24, 2026

WrongPaul FelderpickedPaddy Pimblettover Justin Gaethje
Odds -245 (favourite)$100 bet → −$100Result: Justin Gaethje by decision R5
“But I just think the younger, stronger, hungrier guy is is Patty. And yeah, I if I have to give a pick, I'm going to I'm going to pick Patty Pimlet in this one.”
Clip plays from 40:01. Open on YouTube ↗
WrongMichael BispingpickedPaddy Pimblettby submissionover Justin Gaethje
Odds -245 (favourite)$100 bet → −$100Result: Justin Gaethje by decision R5said they'd bet on Justin Gaethje
“I think he's going to find an opportunity at some stage throughout five rounds and Paddyy gets a submission [...] if I had to put money on this fight, I'd put it on Justin Gagey because that's the safer bet, but just shooting the [ __ ] on a podcast. I think Patty gets it done. [...] I've got it 5149.”
Clip plays from 44:31. Open on YouTube ↗
WrongBrianpickedPaddy Pimblettby submissionover Justin Gaethje
Odds -245 (favourite)$100 bet → −$100Result: Justin Gaethje by decision R5
“I think you're right, Mike. I think uh I think Patty's going to catch him at some point and scramble on his back and probably choke him towards the end of the fight.”
Clip plays from 45:01. Open on YouTube ↗
RightHarringtonpickedJustin Gaethjeover Paddy Pimblett
Odds +200 (underdog)$100 bet → +$200Result: Justin Gaethje by decision R5
“I just don't think Patty's resume is there to pick him against somebody where we've seen it with Justin Gachi [...] So Harington is the only one that takes Justin.”
Clip plays from 46:31. Open on YouTube ↗
WrongJorge MasvidalpickedPaddy Pimblettover Justin Gaethje
Odds -245 (favourite)$100 bet → −$100Result: Justin Gaethje by decision R5
“So, if he could score that taked down early on, I think that'll be a huge indicator. I'mma put my money on uh Patty, man. Believe it or not, my money.”
Clip plays from 71:31. Open on YouTube ↗
RightMichael BispingpickedSean O'Malleyby decisionover Song Yadong
Odds -225 (favourite)$100 bet → +$44Result: Sean O'Malley by decision R3
“I think Song Dong is going to have moments, but I think Shaun Ali um will probably pick him apart over three rounds and cruise to a victory.”
Clip plays from 124:01. Open on YouTube ↗
RightPaul FelderpickedSean O'Malleyover Song Yadong
Odds -225 (favourite)$100 bet → +$44Result: Sean O'Malley by decision R3
“I I I I I so on the fence with this one [...] if it's just a striking battle yeah I think he should probably go out there and be the slicker better guy on the feet”
Clip plays from 124:30. Open on YouTube ↗
RightHarringtonpickedSean O'Malleyover Song Yadong
Odds -225 (favourite)$100 bet → +$44Result: Sean O'Malley by decision R3
“I mean, everything in the striking just by the numbers tells me that Shaun Ali has a very clear advantage. [...] I don't see the path to victory for Song here.”
Clip plays from 126:00. Open on YouTube ↗
WrongBrianpickedDerrick Lewisover Waldo Cortes Acosta
Odds +250 (underdog)$100 bet → −$100Result: Waldo Cortes Acosta by KO/TKO R2
“If it's a car crash, if it's just two trucks hitting each other headon, Derrick Lewis is the one that I pick every time. [...] I'm going Derrick Lewis.”
Clip plays from 114:00. Open on YouTube ↗
RightPaul FelderpickedWaldo Cortes Acostaover Derrick Lewis
Odds -334 (favourite)$100 bet → +$30Result: Waldo Cortes Acosta by KO/TKO R2
“I got to go with my boy uh Waldo Cortez Aosta. [...] I think there's a good chance he gets knocked out as well, but I'm going with our boy Cortez Aosta in this one.”
Clip plays from 114:00. Open on YouTube ↗
RightMichael BispingpickedWaldo Cortes Acostaover Derrick Lewis
Odds -334 (favourite)$100 bet → +$30Result: Waldo Cortes Acosta by KO/TKO R2
“Now, you do realize, Paul, because I'm also saying, Waldo, you do realize that if me and you are wrong, we're the analysts, we're the former fighters, and these two coming at us live from the mom's basement are going to be right.”
Clip plays from 114:31. Open on YouTube ↗
WrongHarringtonpickedDerrick Lewisover Waldo Cortes Acosta
Odds +250 (underdog)$100 bet → −$100Result: Waldo Cortes Acosta by KO/TKO R2hedged or joking
“I've been against Waldo Acasta Cortez literally this entire run. I don't think I've picked him to win uh a single fight [...] But, I don't know, man. This is this is Derrick Lewis, man. [...] these two coming at us live from the mom's basement are going to be right.”
Clip plays from 110:33. Open on YouTube ↗
RightMichael BispingpickedNatalia Silvaby decisionover Rose Namajunas
Odds -332 (favourite)$100 bet → +$30Result: Natalia Silva by decision R3
“Natalia Silva is ridiculous. I think she's on a sevenight win streak in the UFC. She's fast. She's got beautiful taekwond do. I I think Natalia Silva takes this one probably via decision.”
Clip plays from 115:31. Open on YouTube ↗
RightPaul FelderpickedNatalia Silvaby decisionover Rose Namajunas
Odds -332 (favourite)$100 bet → +$30Result: Natalia Silva by decision R3
“I think it's going to go to decision, too. [...] I think she can pull off a decision against Rose and I love Rose and she could pull it out, but I'm I'm going with Natalyia Silva, too.”
Clip plays from 116:01. Open on YouTube ↗
WrongBrianpickedRose Namajunasover Natalia Silva
Odds +250 (underdog)$100 bet → −$100Result: Natalia Silva by decision R3hedged or joking
“Natalia Silva. >> I don't know her. I know Rose. So, spock it. Rose wins.”
Clip plays from 116:30. Open on YouTube ↗
RightHarringtonpickedNatalia Silvaby decisionover Rose Namajunas
Odds -332 (favourite)$100 bet → +$30Result: Natalia Silva by decision R3
“I just don't see the I don't see the path to victory for Rose. [...] so I I am going to lean towards Natalyia to edge it out in what's going to be a three. This isn't a five round fight”
Clip plays from 118:00. Open on YouTube ↗
RightPaul FelderpickedJean Silvaover Arnold Allen
Odds -222 (favourite)$100 bet → +$45Result: Jean Silva by decision R3
“I I like I like John Silva in this fight. I think Arnold being out as long as he has and then you got to come in against some crazy [ __ ] like John Silva. [...] I think Lord Silva comes back strong in this one.”
Clip plays from 119:30. Open on YouTube ↗
WrongMichael BispingpickedArnold Allenover Jean Silva
Odds +179 (underdog)$100 bet → −$100Result: Jean Silva by decision R3
“But I want Arnold to get a win. But I do like Jean Silva. But we'll say Arnold Allen gets the job done.”
Clip plays from 121:30. Open on YouTube ↗
WrongHarringtonpickedArnold Allenby decisionover Jean Silva
Odds +179 (underdog)$100 bet → −$100Result: Jean Silva by decision R3
“I got a feeling one way or another is going to a decision. Arnold Allen does better in decisions than uh Lord Silva. I'm going to take Arnold Allen.”
Clip plays from 122:30. Open on YouTube ↗
RightBrianpickedJean Silvaover Arnold Allen
Odds -222 (favourite)$100 bet → +$45Result: Jean Silva by decision R3
“Gene Silva has a way higher output than Arnold Allen. And I think if it turns into a like a a firefight, I think Jean Silva has a good chance of stopping him.”
Clip plays from 123:01. Open on YouTube ↗
RightMichael BispingpickedUmar Nurmagomedovby decisionover Deiveson Figueiredo
Odds -1600 (favourite)$100 bet → +$6Result: Umar Nurmagomedov by decision R3
“I don't think Umar Nagamedov loses this fight. I don't think he gets a submission because of Figer Radar's really talented on the ground. I've got Umar Nagamedov taking this one by a decision.”
Clip plays from 20:00. Open on YouTube ↗
RightPaul FelderpickedUmar Nurmagomedovover Deiveson Figueiredo
Odds -1600 (favourite)$100 bet → +$6Result: Umar Nurmagomedov by decision R3
“I I I think Umar gets this one done. I think he might even be able to to pull off a finish in this one.”
Clip plays from 20:32. Open on YouTube ↗

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs MakhachevSat, Nov 15, 2025

WrongPaul FelderpickedJack Della Maddalenaover Islam Makhachev
Odds +245 (underdog)$100 bet → −$100Result: Islam Makhachev by decision R5
“I'm going to pick Jack Dela Matalena in this fight. [...] I know you're going to do Jack. >> I'm going to do Jack.”
Clip plays from 68:01. Open on YouTube ↗
RightMichael BispingpickedIslam Makhachevover Jack Della Maddalena
Odds -312 (favourite)$100 bet → +$32Result: Islam Makhachev by decision R5
“I'm going to say Islam Makachev. >> Oh, I say I do. I said Jack, but I'm going to say Islam. I said Jack on Instagram. And I'm not trying to hedge my bets. I just think the more we've talked about it, the more I've looked into it”
Clip plays from 119:01. Open on YouTube ↗
WrongHarringtonpickedJack Della Maddalenaover Islam Makhachev
Odds +245 (underdog)$100 bet → −$100Result: Islam Makhachev by decision R5
“Who are you guys picking? >> I'm on Jack. >> You're on Jack.”
Clip plays from 119:30. Open on YouTube ↗
RightBrianpickedIslam Makhachevover Jack Della Maddalena
Odds -312 (favourite)$100 bet → +$32Result: Islam Makhachev by decision R5said they'd bet on Jack Della Maddalena
“Brian, >> I think Islam's going to win, but I would put money on Jack. [...] >> but what's your official pick? So, you're picking Islam? >> Yeah.”
Clip plays from 119:30. Open on YouTube ↗
WrongPaul FelderpickedSean Bradyby submissionover Michael Morales
Odds -150 (favourite)$100 bet → −$100Result: Michael Morales by KO/TKO R1
“I I mean, I think Shawn's going to get it done. I did it for the DraftKings thing, too. I think I I think a late sub for Shawn.”
Clip plays from 33:00. Open on YouTube ↗
WrongMichael BispingpickedSean Bradyover Michael Morales
Odds -150 (favourite)$100 bet → −$100Result: Michael Morales by KO/TKO R1
“Okay. Yeah, I've got I've got Brady. [...] I just think stylistically, you know, it's it's uh it's a very winnable fight for Shawn.”
Clip plays from 37:01. Open on YouTube ↗
RightMichael BispingpickedCarlos Pratesover Leon Edwards
Odds -169 (favourite)$100 bet → +$59Result: Carlos Prates by KO/TKO R2
“I'm going to lose some UK passport points practice. Got practice winning. I'm just I've got to keep it real. [...] Uh but I I got Carlos practice. I got to say it.”
Clip plays from 27:01. Open on YouTube ↗
RightPaul FelderpickedCarlos Pratesover Leon Edwards
Odds -169 (favourite)$100 bet → +$59Result: Carlos Prates by KO/TKO R2
“I as well am going to go with Carlos Bratz. I just think uh I think if they're both going to strike and I think Carlos does have good enough takedown defense”
Clip plays from 30:31. Open on YouTube ↗
RightHarringtonpickedCarlos Pratesover Leon Edwards
Odds -169 (favourite)$100 bet → +$59Result: Carlos Prates by KO/TKO R2
“Protesz gets going a lot quicker than Leon Edwards does and in a three- round fight, I just don't see the path. [...] Are we saying that this is a clean sweep for Leon Edwards? No one's picking Leon.”
Clip plays from 29:01. Open on YouTube ↗
RightBrianpickedCarlos Pratesover Leon Edwards
Odds -169 (favourite)$100 bet → +$59Result: Carlos Prates by KO/TKO R2
“Are we saying that this is a clean sweep for Leon Edwards? No one's picking Leon. >> Brian, >> nobody. >> Not me. I'm not.”
Clip plays from 32:01. Open on YouTube ↗

UFC 321: Aspinall vs GaneSat, Oct 25, 2025

No contestPaul FelderpickedTom Aspinallover Ciryl Gane
Odds -392 (favourite)
“If I'm giving my pick, I'm still going with Tom Aspinall to get the dub. But I do think that there is a world where if they stay on the feet, Ciryl Gane, especially if it drags on and gets into deeper water”
Clip plays from 49:01. Open on YouTube ↗
No contestMichael BispingpickedTom Aspinallover Ciryl Gane
Odds -392 (favourite)
“I think we both have Tom winning this. I think he wins it. I think he gets the finish.”
Clip plays from 54:00. Open on YouTube ↗
RightMichael BispingpickedMackenzie Dernover Virna Jandiroba
Odds -145 (favourite)$100 bet → +$69Result: Mackenzie Dern by decision R5
“Mackenzie Dern I think she becomes the champion. I think Jason Parillo has yet another champion uh to add to his resume. [...] McKenzie Dern will be the new strawweight champion of the world come Sunday morning.”
Clip plays from 69:00. Open on YouTube ↗
RightPaul FelderpickedMackenzie Dernover Virna Jandiroba
Odds -145 (favourite)$100 bet → +$69Result: Mackenzie Dern by decision R5
“Yeah, I agree with you there. I just think that her path to victory of getting Mackenzie Dern down and and submitting her I think is not bloody likely.”
Clip plays from 69:30. Open on YouTube ↗
RightPaul FelderpickedUmar Nurmagomedovover Mario Bautista
Odds -634 (favourite)$100 bet → +$16Result: Umar Nurmagomedov by decision R3
“But I think Umar just the speed that he strikes with at that distance, the way he can mix in wrestling, yeah, I I I see Umar winning that fight.”
Clip plays from 70:30. Open on YouTube ↗
RightMichael BispingpickedUmar Nurmagomedovby decisionover Mario Bautista
Odds -634 (favourite)$100 bet → +$16Result: Umar Nurmagomedov by decision R3
“But he's going to come in like a maniac. Okay? I've got Umar Nurmagomedov probably via decision.”
Clip plays from 71:32. Open on YouTube ↗
WrongPaul FelderpickedJailton Almeidaby submissionover Alexander Volkov
Odds -190 (favourite)$100 bet → −$100Result: Alexander Volkov by decision R3
“Uh I'm going to go Almeida. I think he's going to find a way to get this fight to the ground and I think he's going to sub him.”
Clip plays from 72:01. Open on YouTube ↗
WrongMichael BispingpickedJailton Almeidaby submissionover Alexander Volkov
Odds -190 (favourite)$100 bet → −$100Result: Alexander Volkov by decision R3
“Same. I agree. Jailton Almeida is a beast. The wrestling is ridiculous.”
Clip plays from 72:01. Open on YouTube ↗
RightPaul FelderpickedAzamat Murzakanovby KO/TKOover Aleksandar Rakic
Odds +102 (underdog)$100 bet → +$102Result: Azamat Murzakanov by KO/TKO R1
“I I I I like Azamat. I I think he's just got uh a special special touch in the in those hands. I think he's going to find that chin of Rakić. [...] but I think Murzakanov's going to get it done.”
Clip plays from 86:01. Open on YouTube ↗

UFC 314: Volkano vs ki vs. LopesSat, Apr 12, 2025

RightHarringtonpickedAlexander Volkanovskiby decisionover Diego Lopes
Odds -156 (favourite)$100 bet → +$64Result: Alexander Volkanovski by decision R5
“I've only seen guys spark out cold Alexander Volkanovski. And with a year off, I just I don't see the path to it. So, I'm going to say Volkanovski in a very hard-fought five-round decision.”
Clip plays from 35:30. Open on YouTube ↗
WrongBrianpickedDiego Lopesover Alexander Volkanovski
Odds +132 (underdog)$100 bet → −$100Result: Alexander Volkanovski by decision R5
“I said Diego Lopes was going to be the champion. I think that I was just a little late. [...] I I think he beats Volk. I think he's going to catch him.”
Clip plays from 36:32. Open on YouTube ↗
RightPaul FelderpickedAlexander Volkanovskiover Diego Lopes
Odds -156 (favourite)$100 bet → +$64Result: Alexander Volkanovski by decision R5
“But, I'm backing Volk on this one. Um again, I'm either calling a late stoppage, round four or five, or uh like you talked about, Harrington, just uh a a pretty clean decision on this one.”
Clip plays from 37:31. Open on YouTube ↗
RightMichael BispingpickedAlexander Volkanovskiby decisionover Diego Lopes
Odds -156 (favourite)$100 bet → +$64Result: Alexander Volkanovski by decision R5
“I think with the footwork and the switch stance and the experience and all of it put together, I've been Volk comes out of this and wins a five-round decision.”
Clip plays from 39:00. Open on YouTube ↗
RightMichael BispingpickedPaddy Pimblettby decisionover Michael Chandler
Odds -165 (favourite)$100 bet → +$61Result: Paddy Pimblett by KO/TKO R3
“Call me crazy. I think Paddy Pimblett wins this fight. Yeah. Paddy Pimblett shocks the world. [...] I think Paddy can pull off a decision here.”
Clip plays from 66:31. Open on YouTube ↗
RightPaul FelderpickedPaddy Pimblettover Michael Chandler
Odds -165 (favourite)$100 bet → +$61Result: Paddy Pimblett by KO/TKO R3
“Yeah, dude, you know, I I have also been leaning that way. Like I said earlier, if you're a betting guy, Chandler is Chandler as the underdog, but I swear to God that that's where my mind is going.”
Clip plays from 67:30. Open on YouTube ↗
WrongHarringtonpickedMichael Chandlerover Paddy Pimblett
Odds +140 (underdog)$100 bet → −$100Result: Paddy Pimblett by KO/TKO R3
“Who wins? Paddy Iron Mike. [...] So, Harrington had Chandler”
Clip plays from 76:33. Open on YouTube ↗
RightBrianpickedPaddy Pimblettover Michael Chandler
Odds -165 (favourite)$100 bet → +$61Result: Paddy Pimblett by KO/TKO R3
“Who did you have, Brian? Did you give a pick? You did. Yeah, I think Paddy's going to win because he's bringing in illegal objects.”
Clip plays from 79:31. Open on YouTube ↗
RightPaul FelderpickedYair Rodriguezover Patricio Freire
Odds -160 (favourite)$100 bet → +$62Result: Yair Rodriguez by decision R3
“I think I think he'll show that he belongs there, but I see Yair winning this fight.”
Clip plays from 94:31. Open on YouTube ↗
RightMichael BispingpickedYair Rodriguezover Patricio Freire
Odds -160 (favourite)$100 bet → +$62Result: Yair Rodriguez by decision R3
“I just I think Yair is going to be a little too much for him. Mhm. Yeah. Yeah, no, I've got Yair. I got Yair as well. I think he keeps him at distance.”
Clip plays from 96:00. Open on YouTube ↗
RightPaul FelderpickedJean Silvaby KO/TKOover Bryce Mitchell
Odds -205 (favourite)$100 bet → +$49Result: Jean Silva by submission R2
“But, man, I don't know if I can go against Rousimar Palhares in this one. I think he's going to get it done, and um he's probably going to find a way to knock him out.”
Clip plays from 82:31. Open on YouTube ↗
RightMichael BispingpickedJean Silvaover Bryce Mitchell
Odds -205 (favourite)$100 bet → +$49Result: Jean Silva by submission R2
“It's a tricky one. I I I Well, I got to go with the Lord Assassin. I'm sorry, Bryce, if you see this. Just stylistically”
Clip plays from 83:01. Open on YouTube ↗
WrongMichael BispingpickedNikita Krylovover Dominick Reyes
Odds -160 (favourite)$100 bet → −$100Result: Dominick Reyes by KO/TKO R1
“I'm going to pick Krylov. I'm going full Krill.”
Clip plays from 96:30. Open on YouTube ↗
WrongPaul FelderpickedNikita Krylovover Dominick Reyes
Odds -160 (favourite)$100 bet → −$100Result: Dominick Reyes by KO/TKO R1
“Ah man, well, I hate to agree with you here, Michael, but I also I'm going with I mean, yeah, I can only be honest with you. [...] I love Nikita”
Clip plays from 96:30. Open on YouTube ↗
WrongPaul FelderpickedJim Millerover Chase Hooper
Odds +550 (underdog)$100 bet → −$100Result: Chase Hooper by decision R3hedged or joking
“I absolutely can see um uh Chase Hooper getting it done, but if I had to pick If I had to pick, I'm picking Jim.”
Clip plays from 99:31. Open on YouTube ↗
WrongMichael BispingpickedJim Millerover Chase Hooper
Odds +550 (underdog)$100 bet → −$100Result: Chase Hooper by decision R3hedged or joking
“He's got a very good chance of losing, but publicly I'm going to say that Jim Miller gets it done.”
Clip plays from 100:01. Open on YouTube ↗